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Governor Races

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The previous post noted the Oregon governor's race.  Here are a few notes from elsewhere around the country.

In New Mexico, incumbent Governor Susana Martinez has opened up a commanding 18% lead over Attorney General Gary King in an Albuquerque Journal poll.  Real Clear Politics has moved this race into the "Likely GOP" column.  A commanding win in a "blue" state would make Martinez, a former district attorney, a credible possibility for the 2016 national ticket.

In Colorado, the Denver Post has the race too close to call.  RCP calls it a toss-up.  Unlike Kitzhaber, Hickenlooper may pay a political price for his death penalty weaseling.  The Post says "only" 18% consider that a "major factor" in their decision, but 18% is a lot in a tight race.  Of course, it depends on how many of those 18% are swing voters as opposed to people who would vote for the proverbial yellow dog before Hickenlooper, but given the across-the-political board support for the death penalty we often see in "crosstabs," with even self-designated "liberals" split about even, I have to think at least a couple percent of those 18 are people who might have otherwise voted for Hickenlooper.
In Connecticut, also, RCP rates the race a toss-up, though challenger Foley is up 4 points in their poll average.  I don't have the same contempt for Malloy that I do for Kitzhaber and Hickenlooper.  He said honestly in the last campaign what he intended to do, he won, and he did it.  That's how democracy is supposed to work.

In California, RCP rates the race as "safe" for the fourth term of Jerry Brown.  By the end of that last term, the California Supreme Court will likely have a majority of hard-core left-wingers.  God help us.  Do we need the last law-abiding person to leave the state to turn out the lights?  No, they will go out when the last business leaves.

6 Comments

Why has the GOP been putting up such weak statewide candidates the past decade or so in California?

About California and judges... I think the current system (commission nominates candidates for governor to choose) is the worst. Notwithstanding whether these get dominated by liberals or not, they also tend to get populated by a certain type of personality of attorneys which I have a hard time finding a word to describe except to say they are the same people who spend most of their sending emails about some donation drive involving Erwin Cherminsky as opposed to do doing real work (same people involved in student bar stuff in law school) I would prefer it just goto straight elections.

Regarding Governor Moonbeam Part Deux is really more of a function of the California Republican party not adapting to some of the cultural realities of the state. I hope they figure it out - one party dominance is never a good thing.


Lastly, back to judges I really want to tell my story about my misadventures in Judge Carneys ccourtroom from this June but that is another story for another day.

The "commission nominates candidates for governor to choose" system is indeed the worst, but fortunately California doesn't have it. The previous four governors -- of both parties -- made high quality appointments, and I have few complaints. The California Supreme Court has been among the best in the nation.

Present perfect tense. The future looks grim.

The California Republican Party as a whole does suffer from the problem you suggest, but I don't think that holds for the governor candidates specifically.

I had it backwards - the California system is where the governor nominates an individual, and then the 3-man commission votes on that person. Thank goodness for judgepedia.org

Yes, but the commission rarely rejects the Governor's nominees. I can't remember the last time it did.

At present, BTW, it's a three-woman commission for Supreme Court nominees.

The Quinnipiac Poll, which would seem to be an outlier but is the most recently completed (finished on Monday), shows Hickenlooper down by 10 points. If this is so, it brings joy to my heart. Hickenlooper is the kind of weasel that brings politics the bad name it has.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/governor/co/colorado_governor_beauprez_vs_hickenlooper-3837.html

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