California has not had an anti-death-penalty Governor since Jerry Brown back in the Saturday Night Fever days, so naturally we are following with some interest the possibility of having one again, i.e., Jerry Brown.
Is Brown surging in the polls, or is he steady with a lead a tad greater than the margin of error?
Depends on who you ask. A Greenburg Research poll for the LA Times has him surging to a 49-37 lead among total voters and 52-39 among likely voters. However, Rasmussen has him with a 6-point lead, the same margin as its previous poll.
The Greenburg poll also shows Cooley ahead of Harris by 3 points for AG in the total column and 5 points ahead among likely voters. The pot initiative is down 40-49 among total voters and 39-51 among likely voters.
Curious. Why would pot be doing less well among likely voters than total while Jerry does a shade better? This can't be ascribed to sampling error because the same sample is being asked all three questions (Governor, Prop 19, likelihood of voting).
Is Brown surging in the polls, or is he steady with a lead a tad greater than the margin of error?
Depends on who you ask. A Greenburg Research poll for the LA Times has him surging to a 49-37 lead among total voters and 52-39 among likely voters. However, Rasmussen has him with a 6-point lead, the same margin as its previous poll.
The Greenburg poll also shows Cooley ahead of Harris by 3 points for AG in the total column and 5 points ahead among likely voters. The pot initiative is down 40-49 among total voters and 39-51 among likely voters.
Curious. Why would pot be doing less well among likely voters than total while Jerry does a shade better? This can't be ascribed to sampling error because the same sample is being asked all three questions (Governor, Prop 19, likelihood of voting).

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