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Booze, Teens, and Crime

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The second thing we should do is kill all the headline writers.

Here we go again.  Christine Hsu has this story in Medical Daily.

While alcohol has frequently been linked to criminal activity among adults, a new study finds that there is a strong association between childhood drinking and criminal activity.

Researchers at the University of Miami found that the relationship between drinking and criminal activity is not just limited to perpetrating a crime, but also to criminal victimization, for both males and females.
Note that the article is careful to say "association" and "relationship," not that the booze necessarily caused the increase, which a correlational study cannot tell us.  Headlines are generally not written by the reporters who write the stories, and this important distinction was completely missed by the headline writer.  "Underage Drinking Boosts Criminal Activity: Researchers."

Whoever wrote the headline should have to stay after school and write 100 times on the blackboard:

Correlation does not prove causation.
Correlation does not prove causation.
Correlation does not prove causation.
Correlation does not prove causation.
Correlation does not prove causation.
Swift's Law Disclaimer:  The first sentence is a satirical allusion to a famous line from Shakespeare's Henry VI, Part 2 and not intended literally.

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