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Waiting for Elonis

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The U.S. Supreme Court decided two civil cases today.  United States v. Kwai Fun Wong, No. 13-1074 deals with equitable tolling, an issue that comes up regularly in habeas corpus cases.

Still no decision on the Facebook threats case, Elonis v. United States.  That case was argued in December, and it is the only case from that session not yet decided.  Playing the SCOTUS Sudoku game, we see from the SCOTUSblog statistics page that Chief Justice Roberts is the only one not to write a majority opinion yet from that session.  (The June case was decided together with Wong today, written by Justice Kagan.)  So it's a good bet that the Chief is writing Elonis.

Does that give us a clue how the case will be decided?  Not really.  He was probing both sides at oral argument.  In First Amendment cases generally he has been pretty much down the middle.  He has written opinions in favor of First Amendment claims in cases on funeral protests and crush videos, but he has also written opinions against such claims in cases on school speech and terrorism support.  That last one gives me some hope here.  We are dealing with speech that involves genuine danger of grave physical harm to a person.  That makes Holder v. Humanitarian Law Project and Elonis different from all the other cases.

Still, we will have to wait and see.  Maybe next week.

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