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Hillary Falls Behind

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Donald Trump got significant help from the Convention.  This has not happened in the CNN poll since the 2000 elections.  The lead of CNN's story follows the break.


Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.
    There hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court....

    He now holds double-digit margins over Clinton as more trusted on the economy and terrorism.

    Crime was not asked about separately, but that issue traditionally works for the Republican candidate, particularly when violent crime is rising, as it is now.

    The CNN poll is, of course, a snapshot.  Hillary might well get a bounce from the Democratic Convention and re-claim the lead next week.  It depends in part on how the Convention goes.

    CJLF does not endorse candidates, and I personally find Trump's rudeness, vulgarity and recklessness appalling.  But, for good or ill, life is about making choices, and when I think about a Clinton-appointed Supreme Court......................

    3 Comments

    I was a bit surprised to see that in this sample Trump had a slightly higher margin in the four-way choice that will actually be on the ballot than he did in the "heads up" match that will not. I would have thought it would be the other way around. I guess you can't predict the dynamics in a race between two candidates with negatives this high.

    There is a lot more at stake than the Supreme Court. Wish it were that simple.

    The question in my mind is how much damage to America and the world, if any, will be caused by DJT's recklessness (or HRC's "extreme carelessness")?

    A lesser of two evils choice if ever there was one.

    She's on the wrong side on this:

    1,819 illegal immigration cases per judge, backlog at all-time high 500,000

    By Paul Bedard (@SecretsBedard) • 7/25/16 10:49 AM

    PHILADELPHIA — The backlog of pending cases in U.S. immigration courts has hit an all-time high of nearly 500,000, crushing the small corps of just 273 Justice immigration lawyers.

    Syracuse University's Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse just revealed that the backlog has hit 496,704 at the end of June 2016.

    The number has surged even as the administration has added a handful more judges. The current ratio is 1,819 cases per judge.

    Democrats here for their national nominating convention are expected to call for more immigration and back amnesty for illegals aready in the country.

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