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Poll Analysis Kerfuffle

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The things people get angry about ...
James Taranto has this amusing column in the WSJ about a spat between two polling number crunchers, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight, a source I read frequently and have mentioned on this blog a number of times, and Ryan Grim of the Huffington Post.

The dispute is that "Silver thinks Trump is an underdog with a decent chance of winning, while Grim maintains there is almost no chance that Trump will win."  Okay, they disagree.  Is that something to get mad about?

Over the weekend Grim fired at Silver with a Puffington Host post titled "Nate Silver Is Unskewing Polls--All of Them--in Trump's Direction." Those are fighting words among poll nerds, and Silver responded on Twitter with a universal, if unquotable here, fighting word: "This article is so [unquotable seven-letter adverbial participle] idiotic and irresponsible."

Read the full column for more on this dispute.

Further down, Taranto has his signature quick-take items.  Here is one:

Make That 8

  • "7 Tasks Housekeepers Should NOT Do"--headline, Care.com, undated
  • "Clinton Directed Her Maid to Print Out Classified Materials"--headline, New York Post, Nov. 6

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Neuroscientist & Professor Sam Wang, PhD, founder of the Princeton Election Consortium supposedly has a better track record than Silver.

www.election.princeton.edu

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