...the current sentencing reductions [will] bring about the release of thousands of convicted drug felons without having any very good idea of what they are going to do after they return to the streets, and -- in some ways even worse -- no way of finding out.
Why is it that the proponents of [reduced sentences] are so disinterested in tracing their handiwork? If, as they claim, the bill will produce safer streets, not more dangerous ones, they should be eager to show the world how perspicacious they've been. Those of us who think that prison helps reduce crime will have been shown up.Maybe the proponents don't mean what they say. Just maybe, they know that crime will go up, and, therefore, it's best not to track the behavior of [the criminals] who'll be getting early release.This is just so typically sleazy from what we see in Washington: Proponents of Bill X promise us it will produce wonderful results, but then quietly scuttle any means to find out what the results actually are.For those who'd prefer a more honest an open approach, let me commend the "Anti-Pig in a Poke" Amendment (my title) offered by Sen. Perdue,SIL15793 S.L.C.
Purpose: To require the United States Sentencing Commission to submit to Congress a certain quarterly report relating to recidivism.
IN THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES--114th Cong., 1st Sess S. 2123
AMENDMENT At the appropriate place, insert the following:
SEC. 110. REPORT ON RECIDIVISM.
(a) DEFINITION.--In this section, the term ''covered individual'' means an individual--
(1) whose sentence is reduced under this Act, or an amendment made by this Act; and
(2) who, after the date on which the individual is released from the custody of the Bureau of Prisons, is charged with or convicted of a criminal offense.
SIL 15793 S.L.C.
(b) REPORT.--Not later than 180 days after the date of enactment of this Act, and every 90 days thereafter, the United States Sentencing Commission shall, in coordination with the Attorney General and the Comptroller of the United States, submit to the appropriate committees of Congress a report that contains information pertaining to covered individuals, including --
(1) the name, date of birth, and Bureau of Prisons Register Number of the covered individual;
(2) the nature of the offense committed by the by the covered individual, including the name of the offense and corresponding citation to Federal or State law;
(3) the jurisdiction in which the offense was committed;
(4) the status of any Federal or State proceeding arising out of the offense; and
(5) any other information related to the offense or subsequent criminal proceeding related thereto that the United States Sentencing Commission determines is relevant.
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When I wrote my pig-in-a-poke entry 13 months ago, it was not as clear as it has since become that crime is surging. Wendell Callahan had not taught us so tragically and graphically about the dangers of federal early release. And we had not had an election that re-balanced where we should draw the line between the risks of too much incarceration, and the risks of not enough.
It is simply foolhardy for the Sentencing Commission to push forward with its lighter sentencing binge without having far more data than it does, or seems interested in getting, about the costs its policies have imposed (and if continued, will continue to impose) on law-abiding, innocent citizens.
My fellow academics constantly remind us of the need for data-driven policies. I agree. It's time for the Sentencing Commission to take a deep breath on blunderbuss early release; adopt the Perdue policies; get and maintain robust data about recidivist federal felons, keeping Congress continuously in the loop; and re-think its behavior in light of the grimmer crime realities we face heading into 2017.

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