The future direction of criminal justice policy in the formerly golden state will, of course, be strongly influenced by who is elected the next governor. Here is a recent Field Poll on the primary races.
On the Democratic side, Jerry "I'll Do It Right This Time" Brown has a strong lead over SF mayor Gavin "Whether You Like It or Not" Newsom. DiFi would trounce them both if she ran, but she isn't going to.
On the Republican side, Undecided holds an early commanding lead at 49%, but this is widely expected to slip by election day.
Among corporeal candidates, Meg Whitman has a slim lead of 22% over Tom Campbell's 20% with Steve Poizner at 9%.
Crime policy could be critical in the Republican primary. Whitman took a strong stance at CJLF's last board meeting, as noted here. Campbell appears to have imbibed the let-em-out kool-aid. Poizner also appears to be stronger than Campbell on crime, although we haven't heard much from him yet on that topic. With the candidates having similar messages on economic matters, crime could be the tie-breaker for many Republican primary voters.
Interesting, there is practically no gender gap in the Whitman-Campbell match. With the numbers rounded off to integers, Whitman is ahead 2% overall, 2% among men, and 3% among women, essentially no difference. Perhaps Republican voters don't give a hoot about identity politics, an indication we are indeed moving forward.
On the Democratic side, Jerry "I'll Do It Right This Time" Brown has a strong lead over SF mayor Gavin "Whether You Like It or Not" Newsom. DiFi would trounce them both if she ran, but she isn't going to.
On the Republican side, Undecided holds an early commanding lead at 49%, but this is widely expected to slip by election day.
Among corporeal candidates, Meg Whitman has a slim lead of 22% over Tom Campbell's 20% with Steve Poizner at 9%.
Crime policy could be critical in the Republican primary. Whitman took a strong stance at CJLF's last board meeting, as noted here. Campbell appears to have imbibed the let-em-out kool-aid. Poizner also appears to be stronger than Campbell on crime, although we haven't heard much from him yet on that topic. With the candidates having similar messages on economic matters, crime could be the tie-breaker for many Republican primary voters.
Interesting, there is practically no gender gap in the Whitman-Campbell match. With the numbers rounded off to integers, Whitman is ahead 2% overall, 2% among men, and 3% among women, essentially no difference. Perhaps Republican voters don't give a hoot about identity politics, an indication we are indeed moving forward.
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