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More on Prop 34 Polls

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The No on 34 campaign has this press release on the new polls on Proposition 34, the California death penalty repeal initiative, previously noted here and here.  They point out something I hadn't noticed in the Pepperdine poll.  Prop 34 has the highest "no" percentage of any of the 11 measures on the statewide ballot.

Politicos generally say that California voters tend to swing toward "no" late in the election period.  I went back to the previous general election and found Field Poll data from late September and late October on three contentious ballot measures and compared the "no" tallies in those polls with the actual final ballot tally. (Please pardon the inelegant formatting.)

Proposition -> "No" late Sept -> "No" late Oct -> "No" final

19, marijuana -> 42 -> 49 -> 53.5
23, greenhouse gas -> 45 -> 48 -> 61.6
25, state budget -> 30 -> 31 -> 44.9

The conventional wisdom seems to generally hold here.  On the marijuana initiative, the voters still undecided in late October broke evenly at the end, but on that one the "no" increased substantially during October.  For the other two, about 2/3 of the voters remaining undecided in the last poll voted no.

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The 729 on death row murdered at least 1,279 people, with 230 children. 43 were police officers. 211 were raped, 319 were robbed, 66 were killed in execution style, and 47 were tortured. 11 murdered other inmates.

The arguments in support of Pro. 34, the ballot measure to abolish the death penalty, are exaggerated at best and, in most cases, misleading and false.

No “savings.” Alleged savings ignore increased life-time medical costs for aging inmates and require decreased security levels and housing 2-3 inmates per cell rather than one. Rather than spending 23 hours/day in their cell, inmates will be required to work. These changes will lead to increased violence for other inmates and guards and prove unworkable for these killers. Also, without the death penalty, the lack of incentive to plead the case to avoid the death penalty will lead to more trial and related costs and appeals.

No “accountability.” Max earnings for any inmate would amount to $383/year (assuming 100% of earnings went to victims), divided by number of qualifying victims. Hardly accounts for murdering a loved one.

No “full enforcement” as 729 inmates do not receive penalty given them by jurors. Also, for the 34,000 inmates serving life sentences, there will be NO increased penalty for killing a guard or another inmate. They’re already serving a life sentence.

Efforts are also being made to get rid of life sentences. (Human Rights Watch, Old Behind Bars, 2012.) This would lead to possible paroles for not only the 729 on death row, but the 34,000 others serving life sentences. On 9/30/12, Brown passed the first step, signing a bill to allow 309 inmates with life sentences for murder to be paroled after serving as little as 15 years. Life without parole is meaningless. Remember Charles Manson and Sirhan Sirhan. Convicted killers get out and kill again, such as Darryl Thomas Kemp, Kenneth Allen McDuff, and Bennie Demps.

Arguments of innocence bogus. Can’t identify one innocent person executed in CA. Can’t identify one person on CA’s death row who has exhausted his appeals and has a plausible claim of innocence. See http://cadeathpenalty.webs.com/

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