Wow prop 47 is the gift that keeps on giving for this blog. It is either the reason reported crime is down http://www.crimeandconsequences.com/crimblog/2019/07/violent-crime-in-california-re.html#more or the reason crime is up. Win win for the scare mongers.

I am tempted to agree with you and suggest that Prop 47 is the default for whatever happens, similar to climate change. But as one who lived through California's last flirtation with sentencing reform, who communicates regularly with police and prosecutors as well as employers, associates, friends and family all over the state, I can say with confidence that there is far more crime in virtually every California neighborhood than is officially reported, and that Proposition 47 is contributing to it. Two weeks ago a rookie cop was assassinated in Sacramento by a repeat offender who likes to beat up women and children. I think the state's current criminal justice system in California failed that dead young woman. Scare monger me.

Your anecdote about the tragic death of a police officer is a perfect example of scare mongering since, according to the FBI, felonious deaths of police officers in CA are basically flat over the past 10 years.
https://ucr.fbi.gov/leoka/2018/topic-pages/tables/table-1.xls

Indeed, your confidence is based on nothing but anecdotes. It remains unclear to me why people would not report crimes simply because they are misdemeanors unless the police are discouraging them from doing so, in which case it is on them.

12/27/18 LOS ANGELES (KABC) -- A new report released Thursday shows a 12 percent increase in law enforcement officer deaths in 2018, and California is among the states with the highest number of fatalities.

Preliminary numbers show that 144 officers died in the line of duty this year -- compared to 129 officers last year. That figure represents roughly a 12 percent increase.

Damn ABC, scare mongering again.

It is indeed scaremongering, the bread and butter of local news, because you need to look at the actual data. First, that is a national number not a CA number. Second, the fact that CA has a high number of fatalities is not surprising since it is a big state with a lot of officers. What is the rater per 100 officers? That would be meaningful. Third, the article you cite includes all fatalities including those "fatally injured in car crashes. Other deaths involved heart attacks, drownings and cancer and other illnesses developed by responders to the World Trade Center attack." Previously you raised the killing of an officer by a criminal, which you suggested was related to increasing crime resulting from Prop 47. I accurately stated that the number of "felonious deaths" of CA officers per the FBI is flat over the last 10 years. Your response is a classic misuse of statistics. So yes, scaremongering.

Sorry, that post says Prop 47 is the reason reported property crime is down. This post says it is the reason reported homeless crime is up. Seems like having it both ways.